Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.292954 8.082728 8.963934 10.028392 11.290745 12.754621 14.602498
2025-01-26 6.053093 7.087027 8.342539 10.012047 12.226715 15.146606 19.441904
2025-02-02 5.652376 6.888056 8.486653 10.779862 14.122018 19.070052 27.541224
2025-02-09 5.277668 6.625351 8.454516 11.240412 15.630687 22.833482 37.116970
2025-02-16 4.869560 6.246805 8.183639 11.271642 16.450423 25.713490 46.723559
2025-02-23 4.626170 6.058668 8.143669 11.622851 17.844913 30.070740 62.588082
2025-03-02 4.238042 5.617980 7.667729 11.183581 17.728009 31.399070 72.082101
2025-03-09 3.942277 5.285130 7.318171 10.898057 17.826768 33.223315 84.952541
2025-03-16 3.719481 5.041918 7.082145 10.770628 18.201571 35.838615 103.968128
2025-03-23 3.621457 4.979720 7.127320 11.148110 19.703681 42.011634 149.494090
2025-03-30 3.397802 4.703809 6.793032 10.771121 19.467601 43.267054 173.308745
2025-04-06 3.184491 4.431003 6.442763 10.323092 18.985252 43.619355 193.404562
2025-04-13 2.994035 4.197767 6.166407 10.038436 18.964558 45.938879 243.025303
2025-04-20 2.859139 4.048418 6.027431 10.021912 19.640253 51.309115 362.945624
2025-04-27 2.851003 4.104773 6.253667 10.790858 22.607983 68.541494 1052.537000
2025-05-04 2.797632 4.080059 6.329271 11.252109 24.938379 86.815111 4581.897058
2025-05-11 2.695335 3.963679 6.221812 11.283388 25.997901 100.365121 44055.097897
2025-05-18 2.638105 3.921034 6.249746 11.635141 28.263956 127.153458 NaN
2025-05-25 2.499865 3.727021 5.967057 11.195190 27.633842 130.615084 NaN
2025-06-01 2.388385 3.574915 5.756523 10.909231 27.500410 139.044914 NaN
2025-06-08 2.301406 3.462081 5.615951 10.781610 27.939154 155.017982 NaN
2025-06-15 2.269660 3.446774 5.669672 11.159666 30.544069 207.273577 NaN
2025-06-22 2.169706 3.301756 5.447720 10.782104 29.878157 212.975300 NaN